Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.240124 0.281928 0.331570 0.395644 0.477305 0.579518 0.719788
2024-12-22 0.171859 0.219911 0.284268 0.379654 0.522824 0.739589 1.114666
2024-12-29 0.140310 0.191179 0.265757 0.389193 0.602286 0.987426 1.835560
2025-01-05 0.115853 0.164843 0.241394 0.378847 0.643527 1.198684 2.730906
2025-01-12 0.101491 0.149863 0.229769 0.384209 0.714054 1.518619 4.386013
2025-01-19 0.089284 0.135649 0.215634 0.379659 0.761810 1.828810 6.746452
2025-01-26 0.081501 0.127259 0.209597 0.388754 0.845695 2.327645 11.780719
2025-02-02 0.075833 0.121484 0.206984 0.404084 0.955178 3.058994 23.435690
2025-02-09 0.070576 0.115568 0.202805 0.414485 1.058735 3.949887 50.486444
2025-02-16 0.066312 0.110836 0.200041 0.427507 1.181429 5.212561 137.816558
2025-02-23 0.062189 0.105786 0.195641 0.435031 1.292926 6.747981 497.568526
2025-03-02 0.058287 0.100662 0.190176 0.438112 1.392588 8.596879 3407.320238
2025-03-09 0.054383 0.095176 0.183249 0.435873 1.475192 10.787616 503864.102067
2025-03-16 0.050460 0.089247 0.174461 0.425904 1.519179 12.937862 NaN
2025-03-23 0.048277 0.086701 0.173288 0.439744 1.700515 18.713426 NaN
2025-03-30 0.045053 0.081600 0.165136 0.428409 1.737297 22.550778 NaN
2025-04-06 0.043004 0.078832 0.162398 0.434993 1.893419 32.181637 NaN
2025-04-13 0.040631 0.075121 0.156740 0.429710 1.972267 41.919812 NaN
2025-04-20 0.039132 0.073207 0.155480 0.440469 2.183805 66.951908 NaN
2025-04-27 0.038013 0.072037 0.156021 0.458599 2.488296 126.846174 NaN
2025-05-04 0.036754 0.070421 0.155118 0.470919 2.774269 250.144770 NaN
2025-05-11 0.035674 0.069118 0.154903 0.486367 3.132428 625.780873 NaN
2025-05-18 0.034465 0.067402 0.153272 0.495305 3.453008 1824.096741 NaN